Otter Growth
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    Notes on growth.

    ArticleOct 202612 min read

    Your Google Play listing probably names an iOS-only feature

    People buy on ratings and reviews, and 4.0 stars is the inflection point. The five things I find most often on a listing, each with its source, plus the Play-versus-iOS defect worth going to look for right now.

    ArticleOct 202610 min read

    Your best email is a receipt, and your trial window is silent

    The first 24 to 48 hours decide whether someone stays. The five things I find most often in a lifecycle program, why open rate stopped meaning what it meant this year, and the two sends most products are missing.

    ArticleSep 202613 min read

    The Meta cost benchmark for subscription apps does not exist

    Ad accounts fail in knowable ways. The five things I find most often, each with its publisher and its caveat, plus why the Meta cost benchmark for subscription apps does not exist and what to measure instead.

    ArticleSep 202611 min read

    Stop cutting onboarding steps. Measure what each one gives back.

    Onboarding has two jobs: teach what the product does, and tie that value back to why they came. There is no standard first screen, only a standard first job, and it changes by vertical. The five things I find most often.

    ArticleSep 202611 min read

    How to audit a subscription funnel from public surfaces only

    Growth is an engine and the drop-off can be anywhere in it: ads, store listing, onboarding, paywall, activation. The five things I find most often, why established best practices simply are not being done, and how to read a funnel from public surfaces alone.

    ArticleSep 202613 min read

    The paywall audit: three levers, and the five things people get wrong

    The paywall is your highest-leverage surface for LTV:CAC and it runs on three levers, not one: how well it converts, where it sits relative to value, and the LTV of the plan people end up on. The five things I see missed most, each with its source.

    ArticleSep 20268 min read

    Paywall optimization: six changes that lift conversion without touching price

    Six paywall changes that lift conversion without touching price, each with a named source and a real effect size, plus the order to run them in. Framing and the default go first: cheapest to ship, and they move the plan mix.

    ArticleAug 20267 min read

    Subscription app benchmarks: the two funnel shapes your numbers reveal

    Give me eight of your numbers and the shape of the problem usually declares itself. Top of funnel, monetization, or retention. Here are the two shapes I see most, why a blended median hides both, and how to build the column you should actually be compared against.

    ArticleAug 20267 min read

    How to be the only human in the loop without being the bottleneck

    If everything routes through you, the fix isn't delegating decisions. It's delegating the analysis and keeping the call. Here's the brief format that makes a real decision answerable in one word.

    ArticleJul 202612 min read

    Running parallel AI coding agents: how I got to 400 commits a week solo

    How to run parallel AI coding sessions on one repo without shipping broken code. Seven weeks, 1,439 commits, one person, and a 6x gain that had nothing to do with prompting.

    ArticleJul 202610 min read

    The new bottleneck in product is judgment, not research

    Building is fast and cheap now, so the constraint moved from engineering to judgment. The judgment work is five questions: the problem, the ICP, the solution, the alternatives, and your two differentiators.

    LinkedInJul 2026

    Speaking at Business of Apps NYC.

    On "The Ideal Flow: top strategies from high-converting onboarding flows and paywalls," September 17 in NYC.

    ArticleMay 20265 min read

    The best B2C teams don't plan a launch

    A launch is a spike that fades. The teams that win build a system that compounds from day one: ship early, test the paywall early, and improve the loop every week.

    ArticleApr 20266 min read

    Referral landing pages: referred users are worth 3x, and this flow keeps them

    The share moment is the window between one person tapping Share and another accepting, and it is where most products squander their most valuable users. Referred users are worth about 3x (Branch.io). Here is the flow that converts them.

    ArticleApr 20266 min read

    Six paywall A/B tests to run first (your paywall is the highest-leverage experiment you have)

    One paywall test moves lifetime value across your entire base. The difference between 30% and 60% choosing annual can decide whether the business works. Six tactics to test first.

    ArticleMar 20268 min read

    Meta ads targeting is dead. Creative is the targeting now

    Creative is the targeting now. You reach a different audience by making creative that speaks to that persona and spending enough for the algorithm to find them. Meta has already demoted your targeting to a suggestion.

    ArticleMar 20267 min read

    Subscription app pricing and free trial structure, the simple version

    Nobody converts on a trial until they have experienced the value, and how long that takes is set by the product. Entertainment lands on day one, wellness and education need a week or two, health and fitness around 30 days.

    ArticleMar 20266 min read

    Your team doesn't need to be good at AI. It needs to be top 0.1%

    "We use AI" now means about as much as "we use the internet." The gap that matters is how far out on the curve you are, because the returns pile up in the tail.

    ArticleMar 20269 min read

    The right go-to-market for a B2C app, from zero to one

    You do not pick a go-to-market. Your product type already has a known playbook. The job at zero to one is a product people love, and buying whatever traffic you need to learn how.

    ArticleMar 20266 min read

    How to get organic traffic from Reddit, carefully

    The whole addressable universe on Reddit is maybe 200 to 300 comments. Play it as SEO, win the threads already ranking on Google, and respect the thresholds nobody publishes. Here's the process and the numbers.

    ArticleMar 20267 min read

    Six growth questions founders ask, with real answers (when to charge, trials, paid ads, annual)

    Ask an LLM a growth question and you get AI slop and SEO-bait, written by people who never shipped anything. Here are six questions I get constantly, with the actual answers.

    ArticleFeb 20265 min read

    5 lessons from two years advising high-growth subscription apps

    Fintech, edtech, health. The same five patterns show up every time: product beats paid, monthly loses money, signup and paywall are the leverage, PMF is still the hard part.

    LinkedInFeb 2026

    A free teardown of your signup flow.

    Calling PMs, designers, and founders building education apps: want a free assessment of your signup flow?

    LinkedInFeb 2026

    51 onboarding flows, 105 insights, one Figma file.

    I tore down 51 subscription onboarding flows and pulled out the 105 patterns that actually move conversion.

    ArticleDec 20258 min read

    "Do things that don't scale" is outdated

    Just build it. The trade-off was always the cost to build against the cost of being wrong, and with build cost at about a tenth of what it was, being wrong is cheap. Test live, trust the signal, and keep the winner.

    LinkedInDec 2025

    I tore apart the onboarding of top wellness apps.

    Weeks of teardown across the top wellness apps, distilled into the patterns that actually drive activation.

    ArticleNov 20259 min read

    Wellness and education app retention is a motivation problem, not a content problem

    When an education or wellness app churns, the team reaches for more content. It rarely works, because the content was never the problem. Motivation is what leaks.

    ArticleNov 202511 min read

    Education app retention playbook: onboarding, the first 48 hours, and the goal loop

    You are not competing with other learning apps, you are competing with TikTok, and day-30 retention for education sits around 3 to 4%. Here is what actually moves it: commitment at onboarding, the first 48 hours, and the goal-loop screen at the end of every session.

    ArticleNov 202516 min read

    Referral programs as a growth channel: a framework for realistic expectations

    Most referral programs deliver 10-20% incremental acquisition. Learn the 3-level framework for building effective referral strategies without chasing viral dreams.

    ArticleNov 20257 min read

    K-factor math: why referrals won't fix high CAC

    A referral program is a percentage of a funnel that already works, which is why it cannot fix a CAC problem. The k-factor arithmetic, why the tail decays, and what to fix instead.

    ArticleNov 202511 min read

    AI-Enabled Couples Therapy: The Massive Market Opportunity Everyone's Missing

    People spend thousands on individual therapy but avoid couples therapy over stigma and cost. AI changes the economics, and that underserved middle is one of the biggest opportunities in mental health.

    ArticleSep 20254 min read

    Founders obsess over morning routines. The wind-down matters more

    Everyone optimizes their morning and almost nobody has a post-work wind-down. Your brain keeps cycling all evening either way. Here's the 10-15 minute routine I use to close the day.

    ArticleMay 20254 min read

    The content wall is dying, and that's good for your app

    For years, B2C content apps copied Netflix and assumed more content equals more value. But a bigger library encourages browsing and quietly kills the thing that matters: starting.

    ArticleJan 20257 min read

    Monthly vs annual subscriptions: the thirds that decide your LTV:CAC

    Buyers split into rough thirds: never annual, convincible, always annual. Your paywall only moves the middle one, and weekly is the lever most teams have never tested.

    ArticleJan 202510 min read

    What "product-market fit" actually means, and how to measure it

    Most startups do not have product-market fit until Series B, which is the job rather than a failure. Here is how to measure it simply, how to run the Superhuman analysis on the result, and the thesis exercise that makes the number mean anything.

    ArticleJan 20255 min read

    In growth, your tools quietly decide your velocity

    Your team isn't slow because it needs better tools. It's slow because it has too many perfect ones. Fragmentation is a real cost and it never shows up on an invoice.

    ArticleDec 20247 min read

    Conversion rate optimization for subscription apps: where to spend your time

    The program that lifted conversion 25% a quarter, every quarter, came down to backlog quality and execution speed. Here are the moves in the order they pay, and the one you can start this week.

    ArticleJul 202113 min read

    Backlog prioritization: five levels from voting to a bets portfolio (Product Foundations, part 2)

    Part 2 of Product Foundations: 5 levels of backlog prioritization, from intuition and voting to grading, measuring, and a risk-mitigating bets portfolio.

    ArticleFeb 20218 min read

    Product ideation techniques for a roadmap that works (Product Foundations, part 1)

    An in depth guide for how to maximize your product features roadmap using best practice ideation techniques.

    ArticleJul 20209 min read

    The 4 Stages Of A Good Growth Process

    The four stages of a growth process, and the specific way each one breaks. The failure points are what you actually manage against, and the stage nobody has ever had to defend is almost always the last one.

    ArticleJul 202011 min read

    How To Use And Optimize A Growth Model

    A growth model is one sheet showing how your levers feed revenue, CAC and LTV, so you can see what moves what before you commit the quarter. Includes a worked one-month model you can copy.

    ArticleJul 20207 min read

    My Experience at MasterClass

    I’ll tell you why I joined MasterClass and what excites me about where we’re headed, about how I think we stack up in the key areas that I evaluate companies on, what makes MasterClass unique, what th

    ArticleFeb 20209 min read

    ICE scoring: how to prioritize a growth roadmap on impact, confidence and effort

    Force-rank your growth roadmap with ICE: impact over effort, wrapped in confidence. What each factor means, why confidence is the one everyone skips, and how to split the backlog.

    ArticleFeb 20202 min read

    The Top 5 Reasons Why Companies Fail

    The top reasons startups fail, why 3 of the top 5 come down to focus and execution, and what Goldratt's The Goal says the goal actually is.

    ArticleJan 20198 min read

    20 Insights From Top Growth Leaders

    Takeaways from conversations with 20 growth leaders at Pinterest, GrubHub, Lyft, Morning Brew and more, spanning traffic, sign-up, engagement, and process.

    ArticleAug 20183 min read

    Growth experimentation for early-stage startups, part 3: measure value, not metrics

    Part 3 on growth experimentation: why success metrics are the wrong frame, evaluating results as value versus cost, and quantifying tests in revenue terms.

    ArticleJun 20185 min read

    Growth experimentation for early-stage startups, part 2: scope the test, then prioritize

    Part 2 on growth experimentation: scoping tests around the solution you would implement, why A/B testing comes later, and ICESRR scoring for prioritization.

    ArticleMay 20183 min read

    Growth experimentation for early-stage startups, part 1: growth is a process

    Part 1 on growth experimentation for early stage startups: growth as a process, the 5% rule, and brainstorming in questions instead of hypotheses.

    ArticleMay 20184 min read

    Testing Principles, Not Solutions

    Solutions are slow to test and principles are fast. Reverse-engineer the principle behind your idea with five whys, then test that.

    ArticleMar 20184 min read

    Minimum Viable Value (MVV) is the new MVP

    MVP is a contradiction: a viable product is not a minimum. What you are validating is value, and you can validate value with no product at all.

    ArticleNov 20175 min read

    7 Keys To Innovative Ideas From The Book "Originals" By Adam Grant

    Summary notes from Adam Grant's book Originals: 7 themes on recognizing original ideas, timing, alliances, identity, group dynamics, and emotion.

    ArticleMay 20174 min read

    The 1 Step That Everyone Forgets w/ Decision Making

    Why validation is the most commonly skipped step in hypothesis testing, and a simple way to sort-rank ideas before committing weeks to a test.

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    Otter Growth AdvisoryProduct growth for consumer apps and products